March 26, 2025
Written by WID.world

From housing gains to pension losses: new methods to reveal wealth inequality dynamics in Chile

The study of the inequality of wealth holds a central place in the research and policy agendas today. However, very few studies on wealth inequality have focused on developing countries, mainly due to data limitations.

In this paper, Bastián Castro Nofal, Ignacio Flores, and Pablo Gutiérrez Cubillos examine wealth inequality dynamics in Chile from 2007 to 2021 – a period of accelerated wealth growth marked by two major macroeconomic events resulting from rare policy interventions:

  • The surge in housing prices following the introduction of a value-added tax on real estate transactions in 2016.
  • The liquidation of a substantial portion of pension assets through early withdrawals permitted during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The authors introduce a methodological innovation that aims to improve the measurement of wealth inequality by integrating administrative pension fund records into household wealth surveys using machine learning techniques.

 

KEY FINDINGS

  • Chile exhibits extreme levels of wealth concentration, with the top 10% holding approximately two-thirds of national private wealth.
  • There is a slight decrease in wealth inequality over this 14-year period, likely starting in 2016, and accelerating further during the pandemic.
  • Two opposing forces seem to be behind these dynamics: rising housing prices, which benefited middle-income households, and pension fund withdrawals, which reduced wealth across most of the distribution. Lower-wealth households seem to have primarily used these withdrawals to repay debt, while wealthier individuals retained them as savings or invested in financial instruments.
  • These results illustrate how policy decisions and macroeconomic shifts can influence wealth dynamics.

AUTHORS

  • Bastián Castro Nofal, Universidad de Chile, Santiago
  • Ignacio Flores, World Inequality Lab, Paris School of Economics & Roma Tre
  • Pablo Gutiérrez Cubillos, Universidad de Chile

 

MEDIA CONTACT

  • press[at]wid.world

 

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